Overcapacity of electrolytic aluminum

China's electrolytic aluminum industry began in 2002, electrolytic aluminum production began to surplus, affected by the decline in downstream industry demand, China's 2008 electrolytic aluminum surplus is expected to reach 500,000 tons. Demand for electrolytic aluminum has slowed down. Due to the economic crisis, demand growth from the real estate and automotive industries has fallen sharply. Demand from the power equipment industry has continued to grow rapidly. Demand for electrolytic aluminum in the packaging industry has remained stable. The demand for electrolytic aluminum is growing at around 10%.

China's bauxite resources are scarce and capacity expansion is not sustainable. China's mineral resources are scarce, and aluminum resources can only last for 10 years. China's resources can no longer support the expansion rate of the electrolytic aluminum industry by about 20% per year. The production cost of electrolytic aluminum is 15,000 yuan / ton - 17500 yuan / ton, while the price of electrolytic aluminum is only 13,400 yuan / ton, the industry suffered a serious loss. Raw materials have fallen further, and the average production of China's electrolytic aluminum companies is also around 15,000 yuan, so the possibility of a sharp drop in aluminum prices is small. Aluminum prices are likely to return to 15,000 yuan / ton around June 2009.

As energy prices continue to rise, the world's major aluminum companies began to ensure the price competitiveness of aluminum production by reducing the cost of all aspects of electrolytic aluminum production. From the domestic policy analysis, the national industrial policy has positioned the aluminum industry to meet domestic demand, and there will be differences in policy between high-precision products and low-tech products. Therefore, mastering the development trend of transportation, power, packaging, home appliances and other industries, and actively introducing advanced equipment, improving technical capabilities and reducing production costs have become the main direction of the current development of aluminum companies.

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