Equipment manufacturing industry will enter a new round of growth cycle

The equipment manufacturing industry is a general term covering a wide range of capital goods manufacturing industries. Therefore, this industry with strong "Chinese characteristics" is not strictly a simple industrial concept. However, in the process of rapid industrialization, urbanization and even globalization in China, the level of equipment manufacturing industry directly reflects the overall level of China's modern industry.
The data shows that in the first three quarters of 2009, the added value of China's above-scale equipment industry increased by 11.2% year-on-year, with July, August and September increasing by 15.9%, 16.1% and 16.8% respectively. From January to August, the total profit of the equipment industry increased by 8.06% year-on-year. Among them, 1-2 months decreased by 24.32% year-on-year, and fell by 6.31% from January to May. In general, the equipment manufacturing industry in the first half of the year was greatly affected by the financial crisis. However, in the second half of the year, with the gradual implementation of the country's 4 trillion investment and expansion of domestic demand, the industry achieved recovery growth. It is expected that the equipment manufacturing industry will return to a stable and rapid development track in 2010. As the global economy recovers, the whole industry will enter a new round of growth cycle.
The introduction of the Equipment Manufacturing Industry Adjustment and Revitalization Plan (hereinafter referred to as "Planning") formulated by the State Council in May 2009 was the most influential event in the equipment manufacturing industry in 2009. The "Plan" mentioned that "China has become a big country in equipment manufacturing, but the problems of large and not strong industry, weak independent innovation capability, backward basic manufacturing level, low level of redundant construction, and difficulties in promoting and applying independent innovation products are still outstanding." The “Planning” lists key projects, projects and key industries in the next few years. The central idea revolves around raising localization rates and strengthening independent innovation. At the same time, there are 9 implementation rules in the "Planning" that need to be formulated. At present, five rules have been issued, namely, the transformation of value-added tax, the implementation of special technical transformation, the subsidy for the purchase of agricultural machinery, the improvement of the export tax rebate rate for some products, and the adjustment of key imported parts and raw materials. Tax incentives. However, there is no further information on the risk compensation rules for the first domestic (set) equipment that is more concerned by the industry. It is expected to be introduced in 2010.
The second hot spot in the equipment manufacturing industry in 2009 was in the field of transportation equipment. With the commencement and completion of passenger high-speed railways between provinces and major cities, a “four vertical and four horizontal” high-speed rail structure will be formed in 2020. In 2009, the public opinion boom triggered by representative high-speed rail projects such as Beijing-Shanghai, Shanghai-Nanjing, Chengyu, Jingang, and Wuhan-Guangzhou has undoubtedly exerted strong competitive pressure on China's civil aviation industry, which has just recovered slowly from the financial crisis. The general assembly base of China Commercial Aircraft Corporation, which was laid on Pudong in Shanghai on December 28 last year, marked the completion of the layout of the R&D-manufacturing-customer service system of the large aircraft. The instability of oil prices and the competition of high-speed rail, the pressure on China's civil aviation industry is not good news for China's commercial large aircraft projects. In addition, an air-iron cooperation program such as air-rail combined transport to establish a large-scale transportation hub is also under trial, but how to reform the closed rigid mechanism of railways, aviation and other management departments, and break the monopoly of various interest groups on transportation resources. It is the key to such industry cooperation and the real breakthrough of China's transportation industry. It is expected that the high-speed rail projects in China will still be hot spots in the transportation industry in 2010, especially the issues such as fare and adjustment of line capacity will be the focus of public opinion.
The third hot spot in the industry in 2009 was the manufacture of new energy equipment. The first is power generation equipment. With the warming of the climate and the issue of energy conservation and emission reduction, the government of China has paid attention to it. In 2009, the development of new energy power generation equipment such as nuclear power and wind power showed high speed and even overheating. Among them, the wind power projects in various provinces and cities have been launched and disorderly competition, which makes the state management departments have to add wind power that is still in the initial stage of the industry in the list of industries that suppress overcapacity in the middle of the year. It is expected that the rapid development of the manufacture and application of clean energy power generation equipment such as wind power will continue in 2010, but in order to avoid duplication of construction and power waste, relevant national departments can speed up research and construction of equipment and equipment for conversion and distribution with wind power, and coordinate and solve The problem of grid access management, the enthusiasm of the industry to pursue new energy is transformed into the driving force for China to accelerate the adjustment of energy structure, and will undoubtedly greatly promote the sound development of the wind power industry. Followed by new energy vehicles. China has become the world's largest auto market. However, the crisis in the US auto industry has had a huge impact in China. Domestic auto companies have begun to pay attention to the profound changes brought about by the energy structure change to the auto industry. In 2009, domestic enterprises such as BYD, Changan Automobile, Shanghai FAW and Chery launched high-profile new energy vehicle products. However, in the face of the dull consumer market, most companies are “thundering and rainy”, and the mass production listing plan is pushed again. Push. It is expected that new energy vehicles will face a severe market situation in 2010. Reducing battery costs and national tax reduction subsidies are the key to opening the current dilemma. The “Ten Cities and Thousand Vehicles” plan and the national priority promotion of new energy vehicles in the passenger and public transportation sectors will be an opportunity for the rapid development of new energy vehicles in 2010.
In general, the development focus of China's equipment manufacturing industry in 2010 will focus on improving the rate of equipment autonomy and enhancing the independent innovation capability of enterprises. In addition, the hotspot industry will also focus on transportation equipment, energy-saving and environmental protection related equipment manufacturing. It is worth noting that the technical equipment industry related to energy conservation and emission reduction, such as combustion improvement, garbage disposal, and new energy storage equipment, may achieve rapid development in 2010 or in the next few years, forming a new industrial hotspot.
 

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